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This is just from putting together all the clues we've seen. If you're too lazy to read the whole thing (though it's worth it) then scroll to the bottom where I summarize it in a sentence.

Call of Duty 4: Zakhaev attempted to convert Russia back to the Soviet Union. The combined power of the British SAS and the US Marine Force Recon units stopped his plan to launch the nukes, and killed Zakhaev himself. Keep in mind the last line of dialogue from Call of Duty 4: "Meanwhile, there have been no comments from the Ultranationalist party, where rumors of a power struggle have just now begun to surface. That's foreshadowing to MW2 right there. Makarov rising to power.

Modern Warfare 2: Makarov comes to power. He wants to take revenge. America's a bigger target than the UK, but the UK may still be targeted throughout the game. Remember the March 2009 teaser trailer? Men in an elevator, preparing their weapons. One says, "Remember. No Russian." Meaning that they can't speak in the Russian language when they step out of the elevator. They step out, and open fire. In the May 2009 preview, we see the same men in the flesh in an airport, opening fire with a SAW and a Striker. We also see footage later of Russian FSB forces entering the airport and opening fire, so we may get to play on the Russian special forces team during this hostage crisis. This will be, like "Crew Expendable", an intro mission.

Act 1 and 2 of the game:
May 2009 preview voiceover: "This appears to be the work of the Ultranationalists. The Kremlin, however, sees it differently." So the Russian government seems to doubt that it was the Ultranationalists who attacked the airport. Why? Because they were dressed like, and spoke like, Americans. They staged an attack on a Russian airport in order to frame it on America. This will set in motion the events of the rest of the game. The Americans and the British will team up in the name of Task Force 141 to find the truth behind the lies created by the Ultranationalists and prove their innocence to Russia. This will lead them to Russia, and Brazil. The Army Rangers are in Afghanistan doing their own thang, and I don't know how they factor into the story mode here.

Meanwhile, tensions between the US and Russia grow to a breaking point. The castle will probably be the finale of Act 2, as Task Force 141 races to apprehend Makarov and whatever he's holding in the castle. Makarov escapes from there, and TF141 probably fail to accomplish their mission, barely escaping in the explosion that ensues. Something will happen to trigger Russia's wrath, leading into Act 3.

Act 3:
Russia attacks the US. There's too many clues to it. In multiplayer, Russian operatives and Army Rangers fight against each other on a high rise building in what may be the US. On the cover of the game, the destroyed outline of the Capitol Building is clearly visible. In a recent "Inside Xbox" video, we saw the city of Pittsburgh in flames with American helicopters flying to the rescue. Tons of clues in the artbook mention parachuting onto American soil. A very early preview alluded to a suburban-style setting where your environment included destroyable mailboxes and other suburban-type objects. If I'm not mistaken, I also read something about Russian BMPs being airlifted onto US soil. And they're not here to help us. I think the Ultranationalists will achieve their goal by turning Russia against the US, which leads to an all-out war which we will participate in.






For the "too long, didn't read" crowd: Ultranationalists attack Russia pretending to be Americans. Task Force 141 tries to prove America's innocence. Tensions grow to breaking point; Ultranationalists team up with Loyalists to achieve a common goal by striking back at the US in an all-out war.

Please rep if helpful.

Good Post, I didn't read all of it as I don't want to spoil too much but I did read the summary. I was planning on avoiding single player for a long time but this story just sounds so awesome I want to play it, maybe even on the first night

same i started reading the long part but got bored in the first sentence so i skippped down

It would have to be the Russians as the enemy